Aug. 20 through Sept. 11 marks the sharpest increase in named tropical systems in the Atlantic Basin

Across the Atlantic and the Eastern Pacific basins, things have been quiet so far.

"Wind shear has been quite extensive across the Atlantic basin the past few weeks ( not seen any tropical storm development across the Atlantic Basin since mid-July with Barry) according to AccuWeather Hurricane Expert Dan Kottlowski.

"Long-range forecasts show less extensive shear 
but still enough to cause problems with westward-moving tropical waves, or disturbances, during the next week or so," Kottlowski said.
Extensive areas of dry air and dust have been inhibiting factors as well.
While moisture can gather quickly regardless of current conditions,
the amount of dust which tends to keep a lid on shower and thunderstorm formation, may begin to diminish next week.

This could lead to an uptick in tropical activity across the remainder of the Atlantic Basin before the end of the month.

Over the years, the period from
Aug. 20 through Sept. 11
marks the sharpest increase in named tropical systems in the Atlantic Basin.

 AccuWeather meteorologists are forecasting a total of 12-14 named storms with five to seven hurricanes and two to four major hurricanes (Category 3 or higher) for the entire 2019 year.

 Thus far, there have been two named storms, including one hurricane. Barry was the only system to make landfall in the United States so far and did so as a Category 1 hurricane.
"With the weakening of El Niño, conditions are expected to become not only much more conducive for tropical storm formation but may also lead to multiple occasions with more than one named system spinning in the Atlantic Basin at the same time as well as a late and strong finish to the season," Kottlowski continues to emphasize.

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