Wednesday, October 23, 2019

Latest weather info.. 0800 okt 23rd

Looks like nothing bad coming any more..  Should be safe again at St Maarten.. Hurricane season ends officially on November 30..
 





Good morning everyone. I hope all is well here is a view of the tropics there is no forecast development right now for any tropical wave in the Atlantic but over the Yucatan Peninsula and Belize and adjacent waters of the northwestern Caribbean Sea there is a disturbance which is forecasted to move west northwestern into the bay of campeche tomorrow then to the gulf of Mexico some development is possible on Friday and Saturday before it is absorbed by a cold front on Sunday.
1. A tropical wave is producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms
over the Yucatan Peninsula, Belize, and the adjacent waters of the
northwestern Caribbean Sea. This disturbance is forecast to move
west-northwestward and emerge over the Bay of Campeche on Thursday,
and then move northward and northeastward into the southwestern and
central Gulf of Mexico on Friday and Saturday. Some development
will be possible by late Friday and Saturday before the system
likely becomes absorbed by a cold front on Sunday.
* Formation chance through 48 hours...low...near 0 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days...low...30 percent.




 The 2019 Atlantic hurricane season is an ongoing event in the annual formation of tropical cyclones in the Northern Hemisphere. The season officially began on June 1, 2019, and will end on November 30, 2019.

 This map shows the tracks of all tropical cyclones in the 2019 Atlantic hurricane season. The points show the location of each storm at 6-hour intervals. The colour represents the storm's maximum sustained wind speeds as classified in the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Scale (see below), and the shape of the data points represent the type of the storm. code= --res 4000 --dots 0.25 --lines 0.04 --xmin -105 --xmax 0 --ymin 0 --ymax 65


First storm formed May 20, 2019
Last storm dissipated Season ongoing
Strongest storm Dorian – 910 mbar (hPa) (26.88 inHg), 185 mph (295 km/h) (1-minute sustained)
Total depressions 16
Total storms 14
Hurricanes 5
Major hurricanes (Cat. 3+) 3
Total fatalities 77 direct, 9 indirect
Total damage > $11.361 billion (2019 USD)
Atlantic hurricane seasons
2017, 2018, 2019, 2020, 2021

2019 North Atlantic tropical cyclone season statistics
Storm
name
Dates active Storm category at peak intensity Max 1-min
wind
mph (km/h)
Min.
press.
(mbar)
Areas affected Damage
(USD)
Deaths Refs

Andrea May 20 – 21 Subtropical storm 40 (65) 1006 Bermuda None None
Barry July 11 – 15 Category 1 hurricane 75 (120) 991 Eastern United States, Louisiana, Great Lakes region >$600 million 0 (1) [1][2]
Three July 22 – 23 Tropical depression 35 (55) 1013 The Bahamas, Florida None None
Chantal August 21 – 24 Tropical storm 40 (65) 1009 Southeastern United States None None
Dorian August 24 – September 7 Category 5 hurricane 185 (295) 910 Barbados, Windward Islands, Leeward Islands, Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico, The Bahamas >$8.2 billion 63 (7)
Erin August 26 – 29 Tropical storm 40 (65) 1005 Cuba, The Bahamas, East Coast of the United States, Atlantic Canada Minimal None [3]
Fernand September 3 – 5 Tropical storm 50 (85) 1000 Northeastern Mexico, South Texas >$200 million 1
Gabrielle September 3 – 10 Tropical storm 65 (100) 995 Cape Verde, British Isles None None
Humberto September 13 – 20 Category 3 hurricane 125 (205) 951 Hispaniola, Cuba, Bahamas, Southeastern United States, Bermuda, Atlantic Canada, Ireland, United Kingdom >$1 million 1
Jerry September 17 – 25 Category 2 hurricane 105 (165) 976 Leeward Islands, Puerto Rico, Bermuda None None
Imelda September 17 – 19 Tropical storm 40 (65) 1005 Texas, Louisiana, Oklahoma, Arkansas >$2 billion 4 (1)
Karen September 22 – 27 Tropical storm 45 (75) 1002 Windward Islands, Trinidad and Tobago, Venezuela, U.S. Virgin Islands, British Virgin Islands, Puerto Rico Unknown None
Lorenzo September 23 – October 2 Category 5 hurricane 160 (260) 925 West Africa, Cape Verde, Azores, British Isles >$360 million 8
Melissa October 11 – 14 Tropical storm 65 (100) 995 Mid-Atlantic States, New England, Nova Scotia Minimal None
Fifteen October 14 – 16 Tropical depression 35 (55) 1006 West Africa, Cape Verde None None
Nestor October 18 – 19 Tropical storm 60 (95) 996 Central America, Mexico, Southeastern United States Unknown None
Season Aggregates
6 systems May 20 –
Season ongoing
185 (295) 910 >$11.361 billion 77 (9)
Saffir–Simpson Hurricane Scale
TD TS C1 C2 C3 C4 C5